The article came together really well! Nice job @volrathxp
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Measuring Archetype "Inequality" or metagame balance
I was looking at the Vintage Challenge results for October, and noticed that four different archetypes had between 10-20% of Top 8 appearances (with a 5th, Survival at 9% of the metagame), but none exceeded 20% of Top 8s.
That's the first time all year those two conditions have been met. There hadn't been a month all year where at least one archetype wasn't more than 20% of Top 8s until October.
I was wondering if the mathematically inclined might be able to propose a formula that could measure 'metagame inequality,' much like the Gini Coefficient measures income inequality.
It would have to be sensitive to the performance of multiple archetypes. And since we lack consistent win percentage data, it couldn't be based on that.
In other words, I'd like a formula that could detect, and scale, a metagame that is more 'equal' and balanced, and one that is more 'unequal' and imbalanced.
So, here are two possible extremes:
Deck 1: 17%
Deck 2: 16%
Deck 3: 15%
Deck 4: 12%
Deck 5: 11%
Deck 6: 8%
Deck 7: 7%
Decks 8-11: under 5%\
Deck 1: 40% of Top 8s
Deck 2: 30% of Top 8s
Deck 3-11: Under 5% of Top 8s
The "Unequal" metagame is not actually a hypothetical - it was the metagame in the summer of 2017, before Mentor and Thorn were restricted, based upon Top 8 Vintage Challenge results.
Anyway, I'm wondering if there is a formula that could detect these two differences, and give us a scaling value.
RE: So what’s the deal with Thieves?
Cheers everyone. I find some of these responses a little odd, in that I'd expect that "true competitors" wouldn't really care about the hybrid playstyle if the deck is good. But then again, Vintage is a weird format and people don't always just want to play what's good, so maybe you're right.
RE: Spell Snare - Time for a comeback?
I tried EW tp8 landstill decklist with an additional Spell Snare in the main and it was golden. However, I played mainly vs. Oath, Jeskai and Pyromancer lists.
At first I was a little reluctant to try it, but playing with 4 MM and 2 Snapcasters, the Snares are "always" protected. I was really impressed by the performance of the card and the "security" it provides when holding it specially in a deck with so many counters.
I would try to upwards it to 3 if possible as you want it to be a hard counter in turns 3+ vs. Xerox style lists.
RE: Drawing 14 - Vintage Champs 2018 Top 8 - 8th Place with "Grixis Thieves" or as I like to call it: Ocean's 75 by George Clooney
This deck is incredible. I love draw sevens. Very excited to try it out. And nice run!
Somehow I’m feeling the need to add two Goblin Welders to this...