last edited by ChubbyRain
Wait, can we go back to talking about things that weren't B&R related in thread? Like the perks of MTGO? I missed that...
Well, speaking of MTGO, you can watch replays of games if you played in the event, so I used those to take a look at this event. PO was 19% of the metagame and had a win rate of 51.4% (though I can't account for mirrors - well, I could but I'm not going to put in the huge amount of effort that takes). It had one deck in the top 8 and 4 decks in the top 32. Note: I don't actually count the winning Belcher deck as a PO deck because it runs one Paradoxical Outcomes. I also don't understand the rant about Grim Monolith. The deck runs zero copies. You should know this because Magic Online reveals the entire content of the deck to you when you are Belched. In fact, if you watched other games that the Belcher deck played, the turn 1 win rate didn't seem to be incredibly high. I was interested and so I went back and watched the matches. I would need to see a much larger sample size before I thought that this was a more significant issue. Seriously, I don't think a single deck in the entire challenge ran Grim Monolith.
The best deck in the event was probably Jeskai Arcanist at 16.2% metashare and a win rate of 60%. Dredge was 8.8% with a 63.2% win rate, so I'm not sure the restrictions actually hurt Dredge, especially with the emergence of the more vulnerable Jeskai builds. BUG was at 14.7% with a 45.6% MWP. Shops 8.8% and terrible at 31.0%. Survival 7.4% with 44.4%.
The metagame is going to shift two weeks into a shake up. At this point post War, Narset decks were still dominating and then Karn won the next 5 events in a row. B&R arguments based on metagame percentages that target decks should probably wait a bit.
Edit: Snipped the bit about Narset. Don't feel like arguing about it. The data will come in with time and player experiences will mount but I'm pretty fatigued with it so I'll enjoy the good parts of the format in the meantime, which outweigh the bad right now by a considerable margin IMO.