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posted in Vintage Tournaments read more

I'm French : here's how it will go :
No strikes the 5th and 6th.
On the 4th : depending on the RER line you might take you could see slowdown of one train out 2, 1 / 3, 2 /3. If you were to take a plane landing at Charles-de-Gaulle airport you'd take the RER B which would for the first part be on 1 train out of 2, then things would improve if you were to go at the EW site (but only trials that day).

After that no strike until the 8th. All that is scheduled, two consecutive days per week (you can see a calendar there : http://www.lemonde.fr/les-decodeurs/article/2018/04/05/calendrier-des-greves-annoncees-dans-les-transports_5281011_4355770.html )

posted in Art and Collecting read more

@monkey_island Your opponent got very lucky. But shh.. Let's not ruin his moment of glory. And good eye on the foreign cards. IVth BB Jap or Korean are the best 🙂

posted in Off-Topic read more

@pox22 Well there's also the 0$ version with lots of opponents : https://www.jinteki.net/

posted in Single-Card Discussion read more

@chubbyrain no worries. About judges, I would point out a case where seemingly every available judges got it wrong : https://timewalking.wordpress.com/2016/12/29/wotcs-non-eureka-moment/

posted in Single-Card Discussion read more

@chubbyrain I've explained that about Mana Reflection already, though in a much more concise manner. You act as if I didn't exist. Also we don't need judges for that one.

posted in Single-Card Discussion read more

@gkraigher I think you can't apply the Sphere replacement effect unless you've applied the Mana Reflection's one, and then you have to apply the Sphere's nerf.

posted in Single-Card Discussion read more

Don't hit I'm a noob in Vintage : isn't this card a great boon for Oath decks ? They seem to not really try too hard to play more than one spell per turn.

posted in Off-Topic read more

@garbageaggro About that "classic magic theory articles" part : do we know of a site linking to them ?

posted in Vintage News read more

@chubbyrain The math tools we use are made for experiments conducted in the same context. Ideally they would query the presumed universal laws of nature and nothing else. When you test deck A vs B, even if no changes to the lists are made in the sample, then you'd still need to know that the players don't have different ways of playing the matchup. And there would be a multitude of parameters that could change in the sample A and B like their health, fatigue, etc. But we omit the human factors and still use the statisticians tools. If you test deck A vs the field you make the testing environment much more unstable, your field will change more than B, might be not representative of the "real" meta (not sure there's such a thing really 🙂 ), and anyways the deck we face in a tournament are quite random.

Also on the personal level, I find matchup winrates, well, omiting that I'm not in favor on relying on stats in mtg, much more interesting for me personally. If I'm confident my deck beats X by a considerable margin, if I could have a relatively exact measure of that margin, I could use that as a tool to see how far I could go in weakening my deck a bit against X to help other matchups for instance. Since I don't expect to have reliable stats "ever" for tight matchups anyways, that's what I could use.

When playing against the field, I can try to use metagame shares (which are much more stable than winrates, or at least that seems clear to me) to chose decks and sideboard, but those aren't winrates, and also I base my strategy on the principle that only the players of top skill matter : if I'm not one of them I'll lose, if I am I'll win against the weaker players, so I'm interested in winrates against top players by top players, that's what of real strategical importance to me and by definition winrates against the field aren't of that nature. Sure neither are matchup rates typically, but they could be devised to be so, theoretically. (another reason why for me stats are so overrated in mtg)

posted in Vintage News read more

@chubbyrain I agree on the focus on specific matchups rather than on "vs the field". Much cleaner data there.